UNITED STATES (VOP TODAY NEWS) — Although the Iranian authorities and most Western political and military experts do not believe that there is a military conflict between Iran and the United States, the increased presence of the US Navy in the Persian Gulf has led many Western media to take seriously the risk of armed conflict between the two countries and warn of the consequences of such escalating tensions for the region.
The American newspaper National Interest begins its article with these questions: will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz, and will the United States respond by force of arms if Tehran attempts to do so?
The American newspaper then refers to the tanker war in the 1980s to say that any scenario is possible in the Persian Gulf region.
“Unlike its allies and trading partners, the United States may not be dependent on oil and natural gas from the Persian Gulf. However, they maintain close alliances in the region through the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council (CCGP). Without leaving the Persian Gulf region, the United States must struggle to maintain its position there,” said National Interest.
The American newspaper then examines the scenario of a possible war between Iran and the United States in the waters of the Persian Gulf. “Iran can take advantage of maritime geography, including by conducting an irregular maritime war in and around the Strait of Hormuz. It is a framework with which Iranian sailors are intimately familiar and where they roam their territory,” he noted before adding, “Never neglect the advantage of the land.”
Referring to the geographical and topographic features of the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, which require large vessels to travel on a specific route, the US newspaper estimates that US Navy warships and aircraft carriers will be targeted. easy for Iran:
“Ships passing through will be under constant threat from Iranian land-based anti-ship weapons such as cruise missiles and tactical aircraft, not to mention swarms of small surface combatants deployed by the Guard Corps of the Islamic Revolution (CGRI), its speed boats equipped with anti-ship weapons and Kilo-class diesel submarines built by Russia.”
According to National Interest , the threat is greatest in confined waters, where ships have little space to maneuver for defensive or offensive purposes. “But this is not the last obstacle to maritime movement. Even after they leave the Strait, incoming ships must pass close to the island of Bou-Moussa and the Iranian islands of Grande Tomb and Petite Tomb where the IRGC’s naval forces are deployed,” he said.
National Interest believes that such a strategy is tailor-made by the regional power of the Islamic Republic, in order to put in place an effective strategy of denying access to the area to its regional and global rivals.
“In the light of hostile environments, an American-Iranian war would not be a naval war in the strict sense of the term. There would be no conflict on the high seas opposing fleets almost symmetrical. Iran also does not need very important means to achieve its objectives. Aircraft carriers, cruisers or destroyers are not needed to block a confined sea. Clever advocates can exploit marine mines, their submarines or surface craft to harass ships or stop them altogether.”
According to the American newspaper, it is the guerrillas, not the traditional naval battle, which is the best analogy for the Iranian maritime strategy. “Iranian defenders will concentrate their firepower and asymmetric efforts at the narrowest and most sinuous points of the Strait, where the enemy’s positions are known in advance, where they are easy to target and where it is difficult to escape.”
At the end of his article, National Interest advises American leaders not to make the mistake of comparing the force structures of the two countries and counting the total number of warships, aircraft and weapons.
The American newspaper believes that all that the Americans could do, the locals could probably do even better.
“Iran is a potential enemy that deserves to be taken seriously,” he said.
This article is written and prepared by our foreign editors writing for VOP from different countries around the world – edited and published by VOP staff in our newsroom.
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