“After Syria, the US will focus on Iran”

The fight against Iranian influence will be the thrust of the new US strategy in the Middle East, to be presented shortly by President Herbert McMaster’s adviser to national security.

This is at least the opinion of the Russian and American experts, among whom are former collaborators of the US State Department. It may be that Washington takes into account the protest potential of Iranian society. According to the daily Nezavisimaya Gazeta.

Few details are known, but the experts do not doubt that the new Middle Eastern concept of the US will focus on the repression of Iran and its satellites, which Tehran calls the “Shiite axis of resistance.”

“I am sure that Iran is a central point of the US administration’s vision because it intends to maintain its presence and preserve its role in Syria,” said Jeffrey Mankoff, who advised the US State Department on Russian-American relations. And to continue: “The presidential administration still faces serious problems when it comes to translating words into action, so regardless of the content of this strategy I will not rely too much on understanding what the politics will look like. in the region”.

Nevertheless, among the problems facing the US government the expert points to the composition of the new Syrian government and the level of relations with Syrian Kurds.

According to him, Iran’s protest potential could also be taken into account by the authors of the new concept of US foreign policy in the region, but that depends on the “viability” of the opposition movement in Iran. “The question is to what extent the protests will be serious and lasting. If in the end they were a threat to the regime comparable to the Green Movement in 2009 (or more), I think that the US will find a way to support them (the protests) or at least find other levers to increase the pressure on Iran,” notes Jeffrey Mankoff.

The Atlantic Council analytical center in Washington doubts that the White House has a coherent strategy in the Middle East. “I think the protests (in Iran) are an additional pressure on the Iranian government seeking a political solution in Syria. This solution will allow Iran (to Iran) to allocate more resources for its internal needs, “said Barbara Slavin, director of the Future of Iran Program at the Atlantic Council.

As soon as the campaign to fight Daesh began to come to an end, observers thought that the military forces that fought the terrorists under US command could be directed to the fight against pro-Iranian groups in Syria and Iraq. For that, it would be beneficial for the Pentagon to maintain bases in Syria.

“At present the US has five air bases in the region: the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Turkey,” said Anton Mordasov, director of the office of Middle East conflict study, expert of the Russian Council for International Affairs. In recent years, the presence of CIA soldiers and agents in Iraq and Jordan has expanded. “An infrastructure was also built in Jordan in the immediate vicinity of the Syrian-Iraqi border to use helicopters and drones.